Tropical Storm GERT Advisory lun, 14.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0300 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   X(21)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   X(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
FORECASTER BLAKE