Tropical Storm HARVEY Advisory mar, 29.08.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

STENNIS MS     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BURAS LA       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  3   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   3( 4)   5( 9)   9(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  2   4( 6)   7(13)   5(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  1   3( 4)   7(11)  17(28)   6(34)   1(35)   X(35)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  3   6( 9)  12(21)  12(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  3   7(10)  11(21)   9(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 39  20(59)   5(64)   X(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   7(16)   X(16)   X(16)

FORT POLK LA   34  2   5( 7)  10(17)  18(35)   4(39)   X(39)   X(39)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
FORT POLK LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

LAKE CHARLES   34  6  14(20)  24(44)   8(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
LAKE CHARLES   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CAMERON LA     34 13  23(36)  22(58)   4(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)
CAMERON LA     50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

JASPER TX      34  3   5( 8)  10(18)  11(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

KOUNTZE TX     34  6  11(17)  16(33)   5(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
KOUNTZE TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 13  18(31)  20(51)   3(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HOUSTON TX     34 14   7(21)   5(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

AUSTIN TX      34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 37  42(79)   5(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  6   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PORT O CONNOR  34 20   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

ROCKPORT TX    34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 19   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

HARLINGEN TX   34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN