Issued: 0530hrs Sunday 7th June 2026
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson

Heavy rain develops for France by Monday

Sunday
Dry and sunny in Iberia and the central Mediterranean islands. A few afternoon showers in mountainous areas of Italy and northern Spain, but otherwise sunny. Scattered afternoon showers in the central and southern Balkan States as well as Greece, plenty of sunshine otherwise. Türkiye is largely sunny. Extensive heavy rain across Romania and Bulgaria, moving east toward the Black Sea.
Patchy rain and cloud in northern France and the Low Countries; southern France is dry and sunny. Showery rain in central/north Germany, dry to the south. The day starts sunny over the Alps, scattered showers forming. Rain passes east across Poland, heavy for a few afternoon hours. Czechia, Hungary, and Slovakia will see some showers but with plenty of sunshine between. Heavy rain in east Belarus and Ukraine.
Heavy rain (locally thundery) across northern Scandinavia, some locally drier areas. Most of Finland is dry and bright, as well as the Baltic States; a few afternoon showers in Lithuania. Southern Norway and Sweden start bright as well, then heavy afternoon showers. Denmark is showery, these heavy afternoon.

Monday
Much of Spain and Portugal will be dry, warm sunshine in the south. Showers affect northern Spain and the Pyrenees, mainly into the afternoon. The Mediterranean is largely fine, hot sunshine for the Balearics, Corsica and Sardinia, also much of Italy. Local afternoon showers forming in southern Italy. Some scattered thundery showers later afternoon for the south Balkans and mainland Greece, also southern Türkiye.
Areas of heavy rain move eastward over France and into the Low Countries, some thundery bursts possible especially central and eastern France later, pushing toward Switzerland by evening. Some showery rain forms into Austria too. Patchy rain moves into western Germany later, but a dry day further east. Sunny spells for eastern Germany, Czechia, Slovakia and Poland. Light showers for Romania and Bulgaria.
Some rain for east Ukraine and Belarus, also the Baltic states, some heavy bursts, but tending to break up. An odd shower for Denmark, then rain by evening. Rain moves into southwest Norway, increasingly persistent, heavier later. Outbreaks of rain also for the southern half of Sweden. Drier northwards across Scandinavia, but local showers.